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Equity Game: Bet on IPO or Safe Stock?
Core Conflict: Bet on Pre-IPO equity for financial freedom (high risk of paper wealth); or take stable cash and low-growth stock from a Public Giant.
Decision Criteria
5
Liquidity Probability
IPO certainty and lock-up period
5
Return Multiplier
Market cap doubling potential
4
Cashflow Pressure
Current salary vs. Living expenses
4
Resume Brand
Famous Unicorn vs. Industry Giant
3
Process Maturity
Wild growth vs. Corporate structure
3
Overtime
Startup crunch vs. Regular hours
4
Mgmt Authority
Early employee positioning advantage
3
Transparency
Knowledge of company financials
4
Exercise Cost
Cost to exercise options upon leaving
4
Founder Background
Reliability of founding team
Start Decision Analysis
Takes about 5 minutes • Free to use